Paris — Fenerbahce
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fenerbahce are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 85:87 — 172 points in total.
Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Paris −4.0, Fenerbahce +2.0 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Paris — No. 16, 3–6; Fenerbahce — No. 9, 6–3.
- Last 5 meetings: Paris 0 wins, Fenerbahce 5.
- Days of rest before the match: Paris 13, Fenerbahce 11.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Paris — Fenerbahce | 84.7–87.3 | |
| Total over 171.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 171.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Paris points
- Fenerbahce points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 29.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv99:94
- 27.10away · Dubai99:93
- 23.10Valencia93:104
- 16.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:90
- 14.10Virtus Bologna94:96
- 31.10away · Istanbul BB3:1
- 29.10away · Real Madrid76:95
- 27.10away · Valencia78:86
- 27.10Alanya Bld3:0
- 24.10away · Gaziantep Genclik3:2
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Paris — Fenerbahce90:92
- 01.10.2025Fenerbahce — Paris96:77
- 29.04.2025Paris — Fenerbahce88:98 OT
- 24.04.2025Fenerbahce — Paris89:72
- 22.04.2025Fenerbahce — Paris83:78
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Real Madrid | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zalgiris Kaunas | 5 | 4 | .556 | 2 |
| 15 | Virtus Bologna | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 16 | Paris | 3 | 6 | .333 | 4 |
| 17 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 7 | .222 | 5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Partizan Mozzart BetBaskoniapreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →