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EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Paris — Fenerbahce

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Model prediction for 11 November

Paris41%
Fenerbahce59%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Fenerbahce are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 85:87 — 172 points in total.

Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Paris −4.0, Fenerbahce +2.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Paris — No. 16, 3–6; Fenerbahce — No. 9, 6–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Paris 0 wins, Fenerbahce 5.
  • Days of rest before the match: Paris 13, Fenerbahce 11.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Paris — Fenerbahce84.7–87.3
Total over 171.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 171.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Paris points
  • Fenerbahce points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Paris

  • 29.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv99:94
  • 27.10away · Dubai99:93
  • 23.10Valencia93:104
  • 16.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:90
  • 14.10Virtus Bologna94:96

Fenerbahce

  • 31.10away · Istanbul BB3:1
  • 29.10away · Real Madrid76:95
  • 27.10away · Valencia78:86
  • 27.10Alanya Bld3:0
  • 24.10away · Gaziantep Genclik3:2

Head to head

  • 05.02.2026Paris — Fenerbahce90:92
  • 01.10.2025Fenerbahce — Paris96:77
  • 29.04.2025Paris — Fenerbahce88:98 OT
  • 24.04.2025Fenerbahce — Paris89:72
  • 22.04.2025Fenerbahce — Paris83:78

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZalgiris Kaunas954.5562
15Virtus Bologna945.4443
16Paris936.3334
17Maccabi Tel Aviv927.2225

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →