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VTB United League (basketball) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg

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Model prediction for 15 November

Parma Perm45%
Zenit Petersburg55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zenit Petersburg are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 83:84 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Parma Perm +6.7, Zenit Petersburg +10.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Parma Perm — No. 5, 4–3; Zenit Petersburg — No. 3, 6–2.
  • Zenit Petersburg: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Parma Perm 0 wins, Zenit Petersburg 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg83.0–84.5
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)49%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Parma Perm points
  • Zenit Petersburg points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Parma Perm

  • 03.11Samara109:68
  • 27.10away · CSKA Moscow57:79
  • 17.10Dynamo Vladivostok108:90
  • 13.10away · MBA Moscow91:93
  • 10.10away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg86:71

Zenit Petersburg

  • 30.10away · Dynamo Vladivostok83:72
  • 26.10Enisey94:86
  • 21.10away · Samara99:65
  • 18.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban72:73
  • 11.10Saratov91:71

Head to head

  • 07.10.2026Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm99:85
  • 10.03.2026Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm74:64
  • 22.02.2026Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg78:84
  • 04.01.2026Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg77:85
  • 29.10.2025Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm82:79

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban761.8571
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg862.7501.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan752.7142
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm743.5713
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg734.4294

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →