NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Pato — Flamengo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Flamengo are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 73:83 — 155 points in total.
Over 155.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Pato −7.3, Flamengo +6.2 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Pato — No. 16, 1–3; Flamengo — No. 4, 3–1.
- Flamengo: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Pato 2 wins, Flamengo 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Pato 9, Flamengo 7.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Pato — Flamengo | 72.6–82.9 | |
| Total over 155.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 155.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Pato points
- Flamengo points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.10away · Cruzeiro68:76
- 28.10away · Minas65:86
- 25.10Botafogo89:88
- 22.10Paulistano74:80
- 18.04away · Paulistano71:92
- 01.11Uniao Corinthians83:65
- 31.10Caxias do Sul77:59
- 21.10Botafogo81:71
- 18.10Bauru81:82
- 16.05away · Brasilia69:72
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Pato — Flamengo84:53
- 09.11.2025Flamengo — Pato101:63
- 01.03.2025Flamengo — Pato91:81
- 04.12.2024Pato — Flamengo103:110 OT
- 13.01.2024Pato — Flamengo97:91 OT
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Mogi | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs | Flamengo | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 5, Playoffs | Paulistano | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 15, Playoffs | Sao Jose | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 16, Playoffs | Pato | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 17 | Caxias do Sul | 0 | 5 | .000 | 5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →