NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Philadelphia 76ers — Detroit Pistons

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Model prediction for 26 October

Philadelphia 76ers39%
Detroit Pistons61%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Detroit Pistons are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 113:117 — 230 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Philadelphia 76ers play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
  • Pace: Philadelphia 76ers 98.6, Detroit Pistons 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia 76ers 0 wins, Detroit Pistons 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Philadelphia 76ers — Detroit Pistons113.2–117.2
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Philadelphia 76ers points
  • Detroit Pistons points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Philadelphia 76ers

  • 10.05New York Knicks114:144
  • 09.05New York Knicks94:108
  • 07.05away · New York Knicks102:108
  • 05.05away · New York Knicks98:137
  • 03.05away · Boston Celtics109:100

Detroit Pistons

  • 18.05Cleveland Cavaliers94:125
  • 16.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers115:94
  • 14.05Cleveland Cavaliers113:117
  • 12.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers103:112
  • 09.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers109:116

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Philadelphia 76ers — Detroit Pistons93:116
  • 13.03.2026Detroit Pistons — Philadelphia 76ers131:109
  • 15.11.2025Detroit Pistons — Philadelphia 76ers114:105
  • 10.11.2025Philadelphia 76ers — Detroit Pistons108:111
  • 08.02.2025Detroit Pistons — Philadelphia 76ers125:112

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →