NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers

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Model prediction for 26 October

Utah Jazz50%
Los Angeles Lakers50%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Utah Jazz 50%, Los Angeles Lakers 50%.

The model expects a score around 120:120 — 240 points in total.

Over 239.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Visitors struggle at 1288 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.3 points off them.
  • Pace: Utah Jazz 106.0, Los Angeles Lakers 97.5 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers120.0–120.1
Total over 239.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 239.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Utah Jazz points
  • Los Angeles Lakers points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Lakers107:131
  • 11.04Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 08.04away · New Orleans Pelicans137:156
  • 06.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder111:146
  • 04.04away · Houston Rockets106:140

Los Angeles Lakers

  • 12.05Oklahoma City Thunder110:115
  • 10.05Oklahoma City Thunder108:131
  • 08.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:125
  • 06.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder90:108
  • 02.05away · Houston Rockets98:78

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Utah Jazz131:107
  • 19.12.2025Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers135:143
  • 24.11.2025Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers106:108
  • 19.11.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Utah Jazz140:126
  • 13.02.2025Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers131:119

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →