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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Quimsa — Ferro

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Model prediction for 22 November

Quimsa81%
Ferro19%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Quimsa are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:76 — 162 points in total.

Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Quimsa +6.9, Ferro −0.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Quimsa — No. 1, 6–0; Ferro — No. 14, 2–4.
  • Quimsa: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Quimsa 5 wins, Ferro 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Quimsa — Ferro86.2–75.5
Total over 161.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 161.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Quimsa points
  • Ferro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Quimsa

  • 31.10Penarol78:73
  • 26.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy68:54
  • 24.10away · Argentino78:76
  • 11.10Boca Juniors105:96
  • 06.10Atenas83:77

Ferro

  • 29.10away · Gimnasia61:73
  • 21.10Platense86:81
  • 13.10away · Atenas86:91
  • 10.10away · Instituto de Cordoba94:97
  • 09.10away · Independiente de Oliva97:92

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Quimsa — Ferro115:73
  • 17.12.2025Ferro — Quimsa89:92
  • 21.04.2025Ferro — Quimsa77:93
  • 07.12.2024Quimsa — Ferro81:73
  • 21.04.2024Quimsa — Ferro112:64

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsQuimsa6601.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol651.8331
13Racing de Chivilcoy835.3754
14Ferro624.3334
15Regatas413.2504

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →