Racing de Chivilcoy — Boca Juniors
Model prediction and result
In short
Final score 72:80: the model's most likely outcome, Boca Juniors to win (53% incl. overtime), came true.
Evenly matched: Racing de Chivilcoy 47%, Boca Juniors 53%.
The model expects a score around 84:85 — 170 points in total.
Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Racing de Chivilcoy −2.0, Boca Juniors +2.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- Boca Juniors: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Racing de Chivilcoy 0 wins, Boca Juniors 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Racing de Chivilcoy — Boca Juniors | 84.4–85.4 | |
| Total over 169.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 169.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
Form
- 16.10away · La Union74:68
- 14.10away · Obera TC84:78
- 11.10Gimnasia72:78
- 09.10San Martin126:123
- 18.04Regatas76:93
- 22.10away · Argentino82:84
- 13.10away · Olimpico80:93
- 11.10away · Quimsa96:105
- 08.10Obera TC96:73
- 01.06Quimsa83:94
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — Boca Juniors84:86
- 25.09.2025Boca Juniors — Racing de Chivilcoy82:67
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →