NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Sacramento Kings — Miami Heat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Miami Heat are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 117:122 — 239 points in total.
Over 239.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray: that costs the team about 3.0 points a game.
- Pace: Sacramento Kings 101.4, Miami Heat 104.0 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Sacramento Kings — No. 30, 1–6; Miami Heat — No. 21, 2–5.
- Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 3 wins, Miami Heat 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — Miami Heat | 117.1–122.4 | |
| Total over 239.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 239.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Sacramento Kings points
- Miami Heat points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 03.11away · Dallas Mavericks115:100
- 01.11away · Memphis Grizzlies105:136
- 30.10away · New Orleans Pelicans120:132
- 28.10away · San Antonio Spurs103:130
- 26.10Memphis Grizzlies112:123
- 03.11away · Los Angeles Lakers117:138
- 31.10Indiana Pacers145:125
- 29.10away · Atlanta Hawks129:117
- 27.10Dallas Mavericks109:113
- 25.10away · Charlotte Hornets110:115
Head to head
- 21.01.2026Sacramento Kings — Miami Heat117:130
- 07.12.2025Miami Heat — Sacramento Kings111:127
- 07.01.2025Sacramento Kings — Miami Heat123:118 OT
- 05.11.2024Miami Heat — Sacramento Kings110:111
- 27.02.2024Sacramento Kings — Miami Heat110:121
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Miami Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.6
- 81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.5
- 80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.3
- 19812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —219.2
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →