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VTB United League (basketball) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Samara — CSKA Moscow

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Model prediction for 14 November

Samara0%
CSKA Moscow100%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 100% against 0% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 65:103 — 169 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Samara −20.2, CSKA Moscow +20.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Samara — No. 11, 0–8; CSKA Moscow — No. 1, 7–0.
  • Samara: 5 defeats in a row; CSKA Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Samara 0 wins, CSKA Moscow 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Samara — CSKA Moscow65.2–103.5
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Samara points
  • CSKA Moscow points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Samara

  • 03.11away · Parma Perm68:109
  • 25.10Lokomotiv Kuban62:92
  • 21.10Zenit Petersburg65:99
  • 17.10Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:94
  • 14.10away · Enisey70:91

CSKA Moscow

  • 27.10Parma Perm79:57
  • 23.10Saratov117:55
  • 17.10away · Enisey85:59
  • 14.10away · Dynamo Vladivostok103:88
  • 11.10Lokomotiv Kuban87:84

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Samara — CSKA Moscow72:109
  • 13.01.2026CSKA Moscow — Samara103:60
  • 12.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Samara113:60
  • 30.09.2025Samara — CSKA Moscow63:82
  • 02.04.2025CSKA Moscow — Samara103:66

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCSKA Moscow7701.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban761.8571
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey615.1675.5
11Samara808.0007.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 100% will not happen in roughly 0 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →