Sao Jose — Paulistano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Sao Jose 47%, Paulistano 53%.
The model expects a score around 78:79 — 157 points in total.
Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Sao Jose −1.4, Paulistano +2.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Sao Jose — No. 15, 1–3; Paulistano — No. 5, 3–1.
- Last 5 meetings: Sao Jose 1 win, Paulistano 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Sao Jose 11, Paulistano 14.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Sao Jose — Paulistano | 78.2–79.1 | |
| Total over 156.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 156.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Sao Jose points
- Paulistano points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 03.11Cearense96:53
- 29.10Unifacisa83:97
- 22.10away · Bauru68:83
- 20.10away · Franca59:90
- 28.04away · Mogi70:81
- 31.10Bauru83:75
- 29.10Franca65:62
- 24.10away · Brasilia73:91
- 22.10away · Pato80:74
- 10.05Pinheiros74:84
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Sao Jose — Paulistano88:81
- 05.11.2025Paulistano — Sao Jose80:71
- 14.02.2025Paulistano — Sao Jose93:78
- 09.11.2024Sao Jose — Paulistano62:75
- 13.04.2024Sao Jose — Paulistano64:93
Table
NBB on the same day
- CruzeiroUnifacisapreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.1
- Corinthians PaulistaOsascopreliminary9281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →