LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3) · Auditorio PSF
Soles — Abejas
Model prediction and result
102:58Came true
In short
Final score 102:58: the model's most likely outcome, Soles to win (86% incl. overtime), came true.
Soles are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 88:74 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Soles +7.8, Abejas −4.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Soles 5 wins, Abejas 0.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Soles — Abejas | 87.8–74.0 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
Form
- 08.10Fuerza Regia75:92
- 07.10Fuerza Regia88:86
- 03.10Diablos Rojos86:43
- 02.10Diablos Rojos84:93
- 27.09away · Dorados97:64
- 16.10away · Santos94:84
- 13.10Santos84:74
- 12.10Santos82:106
- 08.10away · Correcaminos95:89
- 07.10away · Correcaminos98:76
Head to head
- 13.08.2026Soles — Abejas87:80
- 12.08.2026Soles — Abejas71:68
- 19.09.2025Abejas — Soles86:118
- 18.09.2025Abejas — Soles83:90
- 05.08.2024Abejas — Soles71:88
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →