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LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3) · Auditorio PSF

Soles — Abejas

Model prediction and result

100:60Came true
Soles89%
Abejas11%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 100:60: the model's most likely outcome, Soles to win (89% incl. overtime), came true.

Soles are clear favourites: 89% against 11% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:73 — 161 point in total.

Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Soles +8.6, Abejas −5.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Soles 5 wins, Abejas 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Soles — Abejas88.5–73.0
Total over 161.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 161.5 (incl. OT)51%

Form

Soles

  • 19.10Abejas102:58
  • 08.10Fuerza Regia75:92
  • 07.10Fuerza Regia88:86
  • 03.10Diablos Rojos86:43
  • 02.10Diablos Rojos84:93

Abejas

  • 19.10away · Soles58:102
  • 16.10away · Santos94:84
  • 13.10Santos84:74
  • 12.10Santos82:106
  • 08.10away · Correcaminos95:89

Head to head

  • 19.10.2026Soles — Abejas102:58
  • 13.08.2026Soles — Abejas87:80
  • 12.08.2026Soles — Abejas71:68
  • 19.09.2025Abejas — Soles86:118
  • 18.09.2025Abejas — Soles83:90

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →