NBA (National Basketball Association) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Utah Jazz — Miami Heat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Miami Heat are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
The model expects a score around 118:120 — 238 points in total.
Over 237.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
- Visitors struggle at 1288 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.3 points off them.
Facts
- League table: Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6; Miami Heat — No. 21, 2–5.
- Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Utah Jazz 2 wins, Miami Heat 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — Miami Heat | 117.8–119.8 | |
| Total over 237.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 237.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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Form
- 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
- 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
- 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
- 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
- 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132
- 03.11away · Los Angeles Lakers117:138
- 31.10Indiana Pacers145:125
- 29.10away · Atlanta Hawks129:117
- 27.10Dallas Mavericks109:113
- 25.10away · Charlotte Hornets110:115
Head to head
- 10.02.2026Miami Heat — Utah Jazz111:115
- 25.01.2026Utah Jazz — Miami Heat116:147
- 10.01.2025Utah Jazz — Miami Heat92:97
- 05.01.2025Miami Heat — Utah Jazz100:136
- 03.03.2024Miami Heat — Utah Jazz126:120
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Miami Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Los Angeles Clippers | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- New York KnicksMilwaukee Buckspreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.7
- Philadelphia 76ersBoston Celticspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —215.4
- Phoenix SunsLos Angeles Clipperspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.4
- Sacramento KingsOrlando Magicpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.1
- Portland Trail BlazersOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —223.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →