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VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Zenit Petersburg — Samara

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Model prediction for 11 November

Zenit Petersburg99%
Samara1%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zenit Petersburg are clear favourites: 99% against 1% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 98:66 — 164 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Zenit Petersburg +10.2, Samara −20.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Zenit Petersburg — No. 3, 6–2; Samara — No. 11, 0–8.
  • Zenit Petersburg: 3 wins in a row; Samara: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zenit Petersburg 5 wins, Samara 0.
  • Days of rest before the match: Zenit Petersburg 12, Samara 8.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Zenit Petersburg — Samara98.4–66.0
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)50%

231 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Zenit Petersburg points
  • Samara points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Zenit Petersburg

  • 30.10away · Dynamo Vladivostok83:72
  • 26.10Enisey94:86
  • 21.10away · Samara99:65
  • 18.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban72:73
  • 11.10Saratov91:71

Samara

  • 03.11away · Parma Perm68:109
  • 25.10Lokomotiv Kuban62:92
  • 21.10Zenit Petersburg65:99
  • 17.10Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:94
  • 14.10away · Enisey70:91

Head to head

  • 21.10.2026Samara — Zenit Petersburg65:99
  • 30.03.2026Samara — Zenit Petersburg63:100
  • 01.02.2026Zenit Petersburg — Samara113:52
  • 10.12.2025Zenit Petersburg — Samara95:56
  • 15.10.2025Samara — Zenit Petersburg64:113

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban761.8571
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg862.7501.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan752.7142
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey615.1675.5
11Samara808.0007.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →