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VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Krylatskoe Sport Palace

CSKA Moscow — Uralmash Ekaterinburg

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Model prediction and result

90:85Came true
CSKA Moscow94%
Uralmash Ekaterinburg6%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 90:85: the model's most likely outcome, CSKA Moscow to win (94% incl. overtime), came true.

CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 94% against 6% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:72 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: CSKA Moscow +19.3, Uralmash Ekaterinburg +1.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • CSKA Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 5 wins, Uralmash Ekaterinburg 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): CSKA Moscow — Uralmash Ekaterinburg91.3–71.7
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • CSKA Moscow points
  • Uralmash Ekaterinburg points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

CSKA Moscow

  • 27.09away · MBA Moscow82:65
  • 10.06away · Unics Kazan102:76
  • 08.06away · Unics Kazan86:74
  • 04.06Unics Kazan102:89
  • 02.06Unics Kazan91:63

Uralmash Ekaterinburg

  • 30.09away · Saratov80:75
  • 25.09away · Zenit Petersburg68:92
  • 04.05Zenit Petersburg61:78
  • 02.05Zenit Petersburg65:82
  • 28.04away · Zenit Petersburg64:92

Head to head

  • 26.03.2026Uralmash Ekaterinburg — CSKA Moscow76:79
  • 21.01.2026CSKA Moscow — Uralmash Ekaterinburg87:84
  • 17.12.2025Uralmash Ekaterinburg — CSKA Moscow64:86
  • 29.10.2025CSKA Moscow — Uralmash Ekaterinburg95:72
  • 04.03.2025CSKA Moscow — Uralmash Ekaterinburg109:65

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCSKA Moscow4401.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan431.7501
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDynamo Vladivostok312.3332.5
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg413.2503
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey202.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • Uralmash EkaterinburgParma Perm10 October · VTB United League
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 71:86. Model's score: —.166.4
  • CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Kuban11 October · VTB United League
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 87:84. Model's score: —.175.2

VTB United League on the same day

  • SamaraUnics Kazan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 62:117. Model's score: —.168.3
  • Zenit PetersburgParma Perm
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 99:85. Model's score: —.164.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 94% will not happen in roughly 6 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →