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VTB United League (basketball) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · DIVS Sport Hall

Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Parma Perm

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Model prediction and result

71:86Came true
Uralmash Ekaterinburg45%
Parma Perm55%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 71:86: the model's most likely outcome, Parma Perm to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.

Parma Perm are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 82:84 — 166 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uralmash Ekaterinburg +2.7, Parma Perm +6.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Parma Perm82.3–84.0
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uralmash Ekaterinburg points
  • Parma Perm points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uralmash Ekaterinburg

  • 07.10away · CSKA Moscow85:90
  • 30.09away · Saratov80:75
  • 25.09away · Zenit Petersburg68:92
  • 04.05Zenit Petersburg61:78
  • 02.05Zenit Petersburg65:82

Parma Perm

  • 07.10away · Zenit Petersburg85:99
  • 26.09away · Unics Kazan97:88
  • 03.05Lokomotiv Kuban82:87
  • 29.04away · Lokomotiv Kuban76:79
  • 27.04away · Lokomotiv Kuban80:93

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Parma Perm79:87
  • 01.02.2026Parma Perm — Uralmash Ekaterinburg85:91 OT
  • 21.12.2025Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Parma Perm74:79 OT
  • 07.11.2025Parma Perm — Uralmash Ekaterinburg87:88
  • 02.04.2025Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Parma Perm80:76

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban321.6671
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm422.5001.5
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSaratov422.5001.5
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow312.3332
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg413.2502.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • MBA MoscowParma Perm13 October · VTB United League
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 93:91. Model's score: —.166.6
  • Unics KazanUralmash Ekaterinburg14 October · VTB United League
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.6

VTB United League on the same day

  • MBA MoscowEniseylive
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →