NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Denver Nuggets are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 123:114 — 238 points in total.
Over 237.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- New Orleans Pelicans play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
- Visitors struggle at 1609 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.6 points off them.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Denver Nuggets 5 wins, New Orleans Pelicans 0.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans | 123.5–114.1 | |
| Total over 237.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 237.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Denver Nuggets points
- New Orleans Pelicans points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
- 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
- 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
- 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
- 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119
- 13.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves126:132
- 11.04away · Boston Celtics118:144
- 08.04Utah Jazz156:137
- 06.04Orlando Magic108:112
- 04.04away · Sacramento Kings113:117
Head to head
- 14.01.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets116:122
- 20.11.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets118:125
- 30.10.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans122:88
- 06.02.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans144:119
- 04.02.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans125:113
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsMiami Heatpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.6
- Cleveland CavaliersBrooklyn Netspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Philadelphia 76ersMilwaukee Buckspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.9
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —239.6
- Dallas MavericksSan Antonio Spurspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.0
- Atlanta HawksHouston Rocketspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.8
- Phoenix SunsGolden State Warriorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →