Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Joventut Badalona — Bilbao
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Joventut Badalona are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:83 — 172 points in total.
Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Joventut Badalona +1.3, Bilbao −0.8 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Joventut Badalona — No. 17, 0–2; Bilbao — No. 5, 2–1.
- Joventut Badalona: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Joventut Badalona 3 wins, Bilbao 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Joventut Badalona — Bilbao | 88.9–83.4 | |
| Total over 171.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 171.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Joventut Badalona points
- Bilbao points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Baskonia73:93
- 27.09away · Breogan104:110
- 14.06Valencia75:87
- 12.06away · Valencia76:90
- 10.06away · Valencia117:118
- 11.10San Pablo Burgos96:87
- 04.10away · Leyma Coruna101:104
- 26.09Manresa107:92
- 05.06Valencia71:88
- 03.06away · Valencia80:83
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Bilbao — Joventut Badalona80:76
- 19.10.2025Joventut Badalona — Bilbao101:69
- 03.05.2025Joventut Badalona — Bilbao87:79
- 17.11.2024Bilbao — Joventut Badalona79:95
- 17.03.2024Bilbao — Joventut Badalona92:71
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 16 | MoraBanc Andorra | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 17, Relegation | Joventut Badalona | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 18, Relegation | Manresa | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Obradoiro CABBreoganpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —194.5
- Real MadridSan Pablo Burgospreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —192.4
- BaskoniaManresapreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.9
- MoraBanc AndorraValenciapreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.4
- UnicajaBarcelonapreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —180.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →