Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Real Madrid — San Pablo Burgos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 102:90 — 192 points in total.
Over 191.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +7.3, San Pablo Burgos −1.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — San Pablo Burgos | 102.3–90.1 | |
| Total over 191.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 191.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
231 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Real Madrid points
- San Pablo Burgos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Olimpia Milano98:89
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 11.10away · Bilbao87:96
- 07.10away · Aris80:93
- 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
- 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81
- 27.09Baskonia97:98
Head to head
- 12.04.2026San Pablo Burgos — Real Madrid78:94
- 19.10.2025Real Madrid — San Pablo Burgos90:80
- 13.03.2022San Pablo Burgos — Real Madrid70:85
- 19.09.2021Real Madrid — San Pablo Burgos70:63
- 27.02.2021Real Madrid — San Pablo Burgos96:81
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Baskonia | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 8, Playoffs | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 9 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 10 | Basquet Girona | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Joventut BadalonaBilbaopreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.3
- Obradoiro CABBreoganpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —194.6
- BaskoniaManresapreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.8
- MoraBanc AndorraValenciapreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.4
- UnicajaBarcelonapreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —180.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →