Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Obradoiro CAB — Breogan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Obradoiro CAB are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 99:96 — 195 points in total.
Over 193.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Obradoiro CAB −0.9, Breogan −0.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Obradoiro CAB — Breogan | 98.6–96.0 | |
| Total over 193.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 193.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Obradoiro CAB points
- Breogan points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10Forca Lleida91:89
- 04.10Real Madrid107:114
- 26.09away · MoraBanc Andorra90:85
- 12.05Joventut Badalona97:71
- 09.05away · Palencia81:75
- 10.10Basquet Girona115:92
- 03.10away · Manresa101:95
- 27.09Joventut Badalona110:104
- 29.05Basket Zaragoza94:95
- 23.05away · Unicaja83:101
Head to head
- 23.03.2024Obradoiro CAB — Breogan83:72
- 23.12.2023Breogan — Obradoiro CAB88:90
- 25.03.2023Obradoiro CAB — Breogan67:74
- 07.01.2023Breogan — Obradoiro CAB64:59
- 26.03.2022Breogan — Obradoiro CAB80:78
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Playoffs | Obradoiro CAB | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 8, Playoffs | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Joventut BadalonaBilbaopreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.3
- Real MadridSan Pablo Burgospreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —192.4
- BaskoniaManresapreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.8
- MoraBanc AndorraValenciapreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.4
- UnicajaBarcelonapreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —180.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →