EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Maccabi Tel Aviv — Olimpia Milano
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97:79Came true
In short
Final score 97:79: the model's most likely outcome, Maccabi Tel Aviv to win (52% incl. overtime), came true.
Evenly matched: Maccabi Tel Aviv 52%, Olimpia Milano 48%.
The model expects a score around 91:90 — 181 point in total.
Over 180.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Maccabi Tel Aviv −7.3, Olimpia Milano −4.4 points in regulation.
Facts
- Maccabi Tel Aviv: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 win, Olimpia Milano 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Maccabi Tel Aviv — Olimpia Milano | 91.0–90.4 | |
| Total over 180.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 180.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Maccabi Tel Aviv points
- Olimpia Milano points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 02.10away · Panathinaikos67:90
- 30.09Besiktas93:109
- 24.09away · Lyon-Villeurbanne74:84
- 16.04Virtus Bologna85:89
- 12.04Hapoel Tel Aviv88:99
- 02.10away · Baskonia76:86
- 29.09Virtus Bologna87:85
- 25.09away · Partizan Mozzart Bet76:92
- 16.04away · Olympiacos76:85
- 09.04Bayern84:94
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Olimpia Milano — Maccabi Tel Aviv96:87
- 26.11.2025Maccabi Tel Aviv — Olimpia Milano88:102
- 09.01.2025Maccabi Tel Aviv — Olimpia Milano74:107
- 21.11.2024Olimpia Milano — Maccabi Tel Aviv98:86
- 11.04.2024Maccabi Tel Aviv — Olimpia Milano92:86
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 18 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
Next matches
- BarcelonaMaccabi Tel Aviv13 October · EuroLeague77231The most likely outcome came true: 190:87Final score 90:87. Model's score: —.178.8
- Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid13 October · EuroLeague36642The most likely outcome came true: 289:98Final score 89:98. Model's score: —.175.3
EuroLeague on the same day
- 62381The most likely outcome did not happen: 158:77Final score 58:77. Model's score: —.170.7
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 187:94Final score 87:94. Model's score: —.170.5
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 192:74Final score 92:74. Model's score: —.162.1
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 193:82Final score 93:82. Model's score: —.183.2
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 186:76Final score 86:76. Model's score: —.171.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →