NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Minnesota Timberwolves — Toronto Raptors

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Model prediction for 26 October

Minnesota Timberwolves42%
Toronto Raptors58%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Toronto Raptors are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 114:116 — 230 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Minnesota Timberwolves without Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 2.1 points a game.
  • Pace: Minnesota Timberwolves 103.9, Toronto Raptors 100.8 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Timberwolves 4 wins, Toronto Raptors 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Minnesota Timberwolves — Toronto Raptors113.8–116.5
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 16.05San Antonio Spurs109:139
  • 13.05away · San Antonio Spurs97:126
  • 11.05San Antonio Spurs114:109
  • 09.05San Antonio Spurs108:115
  • 07.05away · San Antonio Spurs95:133

Toronto Raptors

  • 04.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers102:114
  • 02.05Cleveland Cavaliers112:110
  • 30.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers120:125
  • 26.04Cleveland Cavaliers93:89
  • 24.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:104

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Toronto Raptors115:107
  • 05.02.2026Toronto Raptors — Minnesota Timberwolves126:128
  • 22.11.2024Toronto Raptors — Minnesota Timberwolves110:105
  • 27.10.2024Minnesota Timberwolves — Toronto Raptors112:101
  • 04.04.2024Minnesota Timberwolves — Toronto Raptors133:85

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →