NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Oklahoma City Thunder — Los Angeles Clippers

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Model prediction for 26 October

Oklahoma City Thunder74%
Los Angeles Clippers26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 118:109 — 226 points in total.

Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Los Angeles Clippers without Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller, Max Strus: that costs the team about 5.9 points a game.
  • Pace: Oklahoma City Thunder 99.4, Los Angeles Clippers 99.5 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Oklahoma City Thunder 5 wins, Los Angeles Clippers 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Oklahoma City Thunder — Los Angeles Clippers117.5–108.8
Total over 226.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 226.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 31.05San Antonio Spurs103:111
  • 29.05away · San Antonio Spurs91:118
  • 27.05San Antonio Spurs127:114
  • 25.05away · San Antonio Spurs82:103
  • 23.05away · San Antonio Spurs123:108

Los Angeles Clippers

  • 16.04Golden State Warriors121:126
  • 13.04Golden State Warriors115:110
  • 11.04away · Portland Trail Blazers97:116
  • 09.04Oklahoma City Thunder110:128
  • 08.04Dallas Mavericks116:103

Head to head

  • 09.04.2026Los Angeles Clippers — Oklahoma City Thunder110:128
  • 19.12.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Los Angeles Clippers122:101
  • 05.11.2025Los Angeles Clippers — Oklahoma City Thunder107:126
  • 24.03.2025Los Angeles Clippers — Oklahoma City Thunder101:103
  • 03.01.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Los Angeles Clippers116:98

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →