EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Partizan Mozzart Bet — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

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Model prediction for 22 October

Partizan Mozzart Bet52%
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet48%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Partizan Mozzart Bet 52%, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 48%.

The model expects a score around 80:79 — 159 points in total.

Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Partizan Mozzart Bet −2.6, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Partizan Mozzart Bet — No. 6, 3–2; Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 5, 3–2.
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Partizan Mozzart Bet 3 wins, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Partizan Mozzart Bet — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet79.9–79.2
Total over 158.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 158.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Partizan Mozzart Bet points
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Partizan Mozzart Bet

  • 13.10Panathinaikos55:72
  • 08.10away · Real Madrid76:86
  • 02.10away · Bayern86:84
  • 29.09away · Paris92:79
  • 25.09Olimpia Milano92:76

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82
  • 08.10away · Dubai77:58
  • 01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
  • 29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
  • 24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Partizan Mozzart Bet82:89
  • 12.12.2025Partizan Mozzart Bet — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet79:76
  • 31.01.2025Partizan Mozzart Bet — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet71:73
  • 21.11.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Partizan Mozzart Bet77:89
  • 04.01.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Partizan Mozzart Bet88:72

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsValencia541.8001
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet532.6002
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPartizan Mozzart Bet532.6002
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDubai532.6002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →