EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Beogradska arena
Partizan Mozzart Bet — Panathinaikos
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55:72Came true
In short
Final score 55:72: the model's most likely outcome, Panathinaikos to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 82:85 — 166 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Partizan Mozzart Bet −1.6, Panathinaikos +5.2 points in regulation.
Facts
- Panathinaikos: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Partizan Mozzart Bet 2 wins, Panathinaikos 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Partizan Mozzart Bet — Panathinaikos | 81.5–84.8 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Partizan Mozzart Bet points
- Panathinaikos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 08.10away · Real Madrid76:86
- 02.10away · Bayern86:84
- 29.09away · Paris92:79
- 25.09Olimpia Milano92:76
- 16.04Baskonia91:79
- 08.10Fenerbahce92:74
- 02.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:67
- 30.09Lyon-Villeurbanne102:79
- 24.09Paris91:72
- 13.05away · Valencia64:81
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Partizan Mozzart Bet — Panathinaikos78:62
- 25.11.2025Panathinaikos — Partizan Mozzart Bet91:69
- 09.01.2025Panathinaikos — Partizan Mozzart Bet96:84
- 05.12.2024Partizan Mozzart Bet — Panathinaikos91:73
- 19.01.2024Panathinaikos — Partizan Mozzart Bet84:71
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dubai | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
Next matches
- FenerbahcePartizan Mozzart Bet15 October · EuroLeague77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.3
- PanathinaikosHapoel Tel Aviv16 October · EuroLeague81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.9
EuroLeague on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 199:80Final score 99:80. Model's score: —.161.1
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 282:84Final score 82:84. Model's score: —.166.6
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 190:87Final score 90:87. Model's score: —.178.8
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 179:93Final score 79:93. Model's score: —.178.0
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 289:98Final score 89:98. Model's score: —.175.3
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 197:102OTFinal score 97:102 in overtime. Model's score: —.184.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →