NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Sacramento Kings — Memphis Grizzlies

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Model prediction for 26 October

Sacramento Kings42%
Memphis Grizzlies58%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Memphis Grizzlies are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 116:119 — 236 points in total.

Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud: that costs the team about 6.3 points a game.
  • Pace: Sacramento Kings 100.5, Memphis Grizzlies 104.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 2 wins, Memphis Grizzlies 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — Memphis Grizzlies116.5–119.3
Total over 235.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 235.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Sacramento Kings points
  • Memphis Grizzlies points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Sacramento Kings

  • 13.04away · Portland Trail Blazers110:122
  • 11.04Golden State Warriors124:118
  • 08.04away · Golden State Warriors105:110
  • 06.04Los Angeles Clippers109:138
  • 04.04New Orleans Pelicans117:113

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 13.04away · Houston Rockets101:132
  • 11.04away · Utah Jazz101:147
  • 09.04away · Denver Nuggets119:136
  • 07.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:142
  • 05.04away · Milwaukee Bucks115:131

Head to head

  • 24.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Sacramento Kings114:123
  • 05.02.2026Sacramento Kings — Memphis Grizzlies125:129
  • 01.12.2025Sacramento Kings — Memphis Grizzlies107:115
  • 21.11.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Sacramento Kings137:96
  • 18.03.2025Sacramento Kings — Memphis Grizzlies132:122

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →