Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 10 October, 20:30 MSK · Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena

Unicaja — MoraBanc Andorra

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Model prediction and result

92:84Came true

Unicaja77%

MoraBanc Andorra23%

Model estimate at 16:29 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 92:84: the model's most likely outcome, Unicaja to win (77% incl. overtime), came true.

Unicaja are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 95:86 — 181 point in total.

Over 180.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Unicaja +0.5, MoraBanc Andorra −4.8 points in regulation.

Facts

Unicaja: 4 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Unicaja 4 wins, MoraBanc Andorra 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Unicaja — MoraBanc Andorra		95.0–86.3
Total over 180.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 180.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Unicaja points
MoraBanc Andorra points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Unicaja

03.10Tenerife75:80
27.09away · Real Madrid87:89
29.05away · Baskonia89:92
26.05away · Joventut Badalona74:95
23.05Breogan101:83

MoraBanc Andorra

26.09Obradoiro CAB85:90
29.05Barcelona95:100
24.05away · Forca Lleida116:88
17.05San Pablo Burgos83:85
14.05away · Joventut Badalona79:101

Head to head

07.02.2026Unicaja — MoraBanc Andorra91:79
08.11.2025MoraBanc Andorra — Unicaja98:74
04.05.2025Unicaja — MoraBanc Andorra98:80
17.11.2024MoraBanc Andorra — Unicaja89:106
03.02.2024Unicaja — MoraBanc Andorra92:86

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
10	Basquet Girona	3	1	2	.333	2
11	Unicaja	3	1	2	.333	2
12	Forca Lleida	3	1	2	.333	2
15	Murcia	3	1	2	.333	2
16	MoraBanc Andorra	2	0	2	.000	2.5
17, Relegation	Joventut Badalona	2	0	2	.000	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

21:00
Joventut BadalonaMoraBanc Andorra14 October · Liga ACB
7822
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —178.4
19:00
ManresaUnicaja17 October · Liga ACB
3664
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.0

Liga ACB on the same day

19:00
Leyma CorunaBasket Zaragoza
5347
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 71:92. Model's score: —.195.4
22:00
BreoganBasquet Girona
7327
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 115:92. Model's score: —.191.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →