Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Pazo dos Deportes
Breogan — Basquet Girona
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
115:92Came true
In short
Final score 115:92: the model's most likely outcome, Breogan to win (73% incl. overtime), came true.
Breogan are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 99:92 — 191 point in total.
Over 190.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Breogan −1.3, Basquet Girona −5.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Breogan — Basquet Girona | 99.2–92.0 | |
| Total over 190.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 190.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Breogan points
- Basquet Girona points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 03.10away · Manresa101:95
- 27.09Joventut Badalona110:104
- 29.05Basket Zaragoza94:95
- 23.05away · Unicaja83:101
- 16.05Basquet Girona95:76
- 04.10away · Baskonia78:118
- 27.09Murcia84:77
- 29.05Joventut Badalona82:77
- 24.05away · Bilbao80:86
- 16.05away · Breogan76:95
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Breogan — Basquet Girona95:76
- 06.12.2025Basquet Girona — Breogan103:80
- 12.04.2025Basquet Girona — Breogan91:85
- 21.12.2024Breogan — Basquet Girona77:74
- 21.01.2024Breogan — Basquet Girona93:75
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 9 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 10 | Basquet Girona | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 11 | Unicaja | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Next matches
- MoraBanc AndorraBreogan17 October · Liga ACB46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —196.3
- Basquet GironaLeyma Coruna18 October · Liga ACB70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.6
Liga ACB on the same day
- 53471The most likely outcome did not happen: 171:92Final score 71:92. Model's score: —.195.4
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 192:84Final score 92:84. Model's score: —.181.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →