Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Coliseum da Coruna
Leyma Coruna — Basket Zaragoza
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 71:92: the model's most likely outcome, Leyma Coruna to win (53% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Leyma Coruna 53%, Basket Zaragoza 47%.
The model expects a score around 98:97 — 195 points in total.
Over 194.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Leyma Coruna −7.4, Basket Zaragoza −4.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Leyma Coruna — Basket Zaragoza | 98.1–97.3 | |
| Total over 194.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 194.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Leyma Coruna points
- Basket Zaragoza points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 04.10Bilbao104:101
- 26.09away · Barcelona101:119
- 30.05Baskonia101:105
- 24.05away · Murcia93:105
- 17.05MoraBanc Andorra91:104
- 04.10Valencia82:97
- 27.09away · Tenerife81:80
- 29.05away · Breogan95:94
- 26.05Valencia86:98
- 24.05Murcia90:100
Head to head
- 30.04.2025Basket Zaragoza — Leyma Coruna84:76
- 26.10.2024Leyma Coruna — Basket Zaragoza110:86
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 13 | Leyma Coruna | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 14 | Valencia | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Next matches
- Basquet GironaLeyma Coruna18 October · Liga ACB70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.6
- Basket ZaragozaForca Lleida18 October · Liga ACB68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.3
Liga ACB on the same day
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 192:84Final score 92:84. Model's score: —.181.3
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 1115:92Final score 115:92. Model's score: —.191.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →