EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 30 October, 22:30 MSK

Virtus Bologna — Besiktas

Model prediction for 30 October

Virtus Bologna62%

Besiktas38%

Model estimate at 15:06 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Virtus Bologna are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:87 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Virtus Bologna −3.3, Besiktas −3.4 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Virtus Bologna — No. 10, 2–2; Besiktas — No. 9, 2–2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Virtus Bologna — Besiktas		90.2–86.7
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)		49%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)		51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Virtus Bologna points
Besiktas points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Virtus Bologna

08.10away · Bayern94:87
01.10Olympiacos96:94
29.09away · Olimpia Milano85:87
25.09away · Fenerbahce68:78
16.04away · Maccabi Tel Aviv89:85

Besiktas

09.10away · Baskonia92:84
02.10Barcelona82:95
30.09away · Maccabi Tel Aviv109:93
25.09Valencia94:96
28.04away · JL Bourg71:73

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Barcelona	5	3	2	.600	2
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Besiktas	4	2	2	.500	2.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	.500	2.5
11	Hapoel Tel Aviv	4	2	2	.500	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

19:00
DubaiHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.0
20:30
Anadolu EfesPanathinaikospreliminary
3169
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.1
21:00
Zalgiris KaunasPartizan Mozzart Betpreliminary
7327
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.9
22:00
Lyon-VilleurbanneBaskoniapreliminary
6535
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.7
22:15
OlympiacosOlimpia Milanopreliminary
928
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.6
22:30
BarcelonaValenciapreliminary
4555
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —179.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →