A-League: matchday 1 predictions
16–18 October · 5 matches · season 2026/27
A-League matchday 1: 5 matches, 16–18 October. The model expects 3.0 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 3 matches, an away win in 2.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedCentral Coast Mariners — Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets 49% to win; most likely score 0:2; 3.5 goals on average; over 2.5: 68%
- Closest matchAuckland FC — Melbourne City FC43% v 28%, draw 28%
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
Saturday, 17 October
- 4328281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 2626492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.5
Sunday, 18 October
- 2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.