Ligue 1: matchday 7 predictions
16–18 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
Ligue 1 matchday 7: 9 matches, 16–18 October. The model expects 2.9 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 5. In matchday 6 the most likely outcome came true in 7 of 9 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedTroyes — LensLens 72% to win; most likely score 1:2; 3.4 goals on average; over 2.5: 66%
- Closest match · Top-of-the-table clashParis FC — Rennes38% v 35%, draw 27%; 5th v 3rd in the table
- Possible upsetAngers — MarseilleAngers 20% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Monaco lead with 14 points from 6 matches; Lille are second, 1 point behind. The leader’s game this round: Lorient — Monaco, 46% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Monaco 12%, Lille 5%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Auxerre, Troyes and Le Havre; they are up to 4 points behind 15th place. A game at the bottom: Le Havre — Auxerre. Most at risk by the season forecast: Troyes, 49% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 3328392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
Saturday, 17 October
- 1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
- 5923171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 1018722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
Sunday, 18 October
- 2025552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 4027321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 5924181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Ligue 1: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →