Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Abha — Al Kholood
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Al Kholood are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Kholood are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abha — Al Kholood What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Abha not to lose | 58% | |
| Al Kholood not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abha
- Abha goals
- Al Kholood goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.09away · Al Diriyah0:0
- 09.09away · Al Nassr FC1:2
- 04.09Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 28.08away · Al-Fayha2:3
- 25.08Al Khaleej1:1
- 09.10Al Qadsiah0:5
- 13.09away · Al Riyadh0:2
- 09.09Al Shabab2:1
- 03.09away · Al-Fayha2:2
- 29.08Al Ahli3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 1122672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 90731The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.1
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →