Danish Superliga, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
AC Horsens — Sønderjyske
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
AC Horsens are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: AC Horsens — No. 6, 12 pts; Sønderjyske — No. 12, 5 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AC Horsens — Sønderjyske What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| AC Horsens not to lose | 74% | |
| Sønderjyske not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AC Horsens
- AC Horsens goals
- Sønderjyske goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Silkeborg3:3
- 20.09AGF2:2
- 11.09away · FC København0:2
- 06.09away · Sønderjyske5:2
- 28.08Viborg2:3
- 12.10away · AGF0:3
- 20.09Randers FC4:2
- 13.09away · Lyngby1:1
- 06.09AC Horsens2:5
- 31.08away · FC København1:3
Head to head
- 06.09.2026Sønderjyske — AC Horsens2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 10 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 6, Championship round | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7, Relegation round | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11, Relegation round | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | -9 | 7 |
| 12, Relegation round | Sønderjyske | 10 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- FC MidtjyllandLyngbypreliminary6423131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- SilkeborgNordsjællandpreliminary2026542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AGFViborgpreliminary4228311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →