Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
ACDR Lamelas — Vitória de Guimarães
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Vitória de Guimarães are clear favourites: 66% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vitória de Guimarães are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Vitória de Guimarães: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ACDR Lamelas — Vitória de Guimarães What is xG? | 0.9–2.2 | |
| ACDR Lamelas not to lose | 34% | |
| Vitória de Guimarães not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Benfica0:2
- 20.09Moreirense1:1
- 12.09away · Académico Viseu1:2
- 06.09Casa Pia AC0:0
- 31.08away · Braga0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 3627382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 7018111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →