Segunda Division, round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
AD Ceuta FC — Real Oviedo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Real Oviedo are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Oviedo are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AD Ceuta FC — Real Oviedo What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| AD Ceuta FC not to lose | 56% | |
| Real Oviedo not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AD Ceuta FC
- AD Ceuta FC goals
- Real Oviedo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Sabadell1:2
- 04.10away · Castellón1:1
- 26.09Real Sociedad B3:1
- 20.09Real Valladolid1:1
- 11.09away · Burgos CF1:3
- 12.10Eibar3:1
- 02.10away · Eldense1:4
- 27.09Sporting Gijón2:0
- 20.09away · Sabadell1:3
- 13.09away · Real Valladolid3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Granada | 9 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 20, Relegation | Cádiz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 21, Relegation | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
| 22, Relegation | Albacete | 9 | 0 | -15 | 1 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5425201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →