Segunda Division, round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Real Valladolid — Eldense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Real Valladolid are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Valladolid are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Valladolid — Eldense What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Real Valladolid not to lose | 80% | |
| Eldense not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Valladolid
- Real Valladolid goals
- Eldense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Albacete5:0
- 04.10away · Las Palmas2:2
- 27.09Córdoba3:1
- 20.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 13.09Real Oviedo0:3
- 10.10Córdoba2:1
- 02.10Real Oviedo4:1
- 27.09away · Burgos CF0:1
- 19.09Eibar1:2
- 13.09away · Sporting Gijón1:0
Head to head
- 13.04.2024Real Valladolid — Eldense1:0
- 04.10.2023Eldense — Real Valladolid0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Granada | 9 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Real Valladolid | 9 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 2829442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →