Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
ADO Den Haag — PSV Eindhoven
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites: 77% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PSV Eindhoven are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ADO Den Haag — PSV Eindhoven What is xG? | 0.9–2.9 | |
| ADO Den Haag not to lose | 23% | |
| PSV Eindhoven not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 74% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 26% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag goals
- PSV Eindhoven goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Telstar2:2
- 19.09Cambuur1:1
- 12.09away · FC Twente0:2
- 06.09Fortuna Sittard2:3
- 30.08away · Feyenoord2:2
- 13.10away · RB Leipzig0:1
- 09.10SC Heerenveen2:0
- 20.09away · FC Twente2:3
- 13.09Sparta Rotterdam4:1
- 10.09Shakhtar Donetsk1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | +20 | 20 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | +16 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | -15 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Willem II | 8 | 0 | -16 | 2 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 6222151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →