Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Sparta Rotterdam — Willem II
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Sparta Rotterdam are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sparta Rotterdam are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sparta Rotterdam — No. 14, 6 pts; Willem II — No. 18, 2 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Sparta Rotterdam: winless in 5; Willem II: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Sparta Rotterdam 2 wins, Willem II 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam — Willem II What is xG? | 2.3–1.1 | |
| Sparta Rotterdam not to lose | 85% | |
| Willem II not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam goals
- Willem II goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Go Ahead Eagles3:3
- 19.09SC Heerenveen0:4
- 13.09away · PSV Eindhoven1:4
- 04.09PEC Zwolle2:2
- 29.08away · Excelsior1:2
- 11.10away · FC Utrecht1:3
- 19.09Fortuna Sittard0:1
- 15.09away · Ajax1:5
- 11.09away · AZ Alkmaar1:1
- 05.09Excelsior0:3
Head to head
- 02.03.2025Sparta Rotterdam — Willem II4:0
- 31.08.2024Willem II — Sparta Rotterdam1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Willem II | 8 | 0 | -16 | 2 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 1117722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.8
- 1020702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →