Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
AE Prat — Athletic Club
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Athletic Club are clear favourites: 85% against 4% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Athletic Club are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AE Prat — Athletic Club What is xG? | 0.6–3.0 | |
| AE Prat not to lose | 15% | |
| Athletic Club not to lose | 96% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AE Prat
- AE Prat goals
- Athletic Club goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 19.09Deportivo Alavés0:0
- 12.09Elche1:1
- 05.09Atlético Madrid3:0
- 30.08away · Celta Vigo2:0
- 27.08away · Barcelona0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Atletico CalatayudOsasunapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Atlético BalearesEldensepreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- UB LebrijanaGetafepreliminary613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriapreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- AntequeraCDA Águilas FCpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ConquenseCastellónpreliminary816762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- GuijueloSporting Gijónpreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- CD LaredoBurgos CFpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →