Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Atletico Calatayud — Osasuna

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Model prediction for 29 October

Atletico Calatayud7%
Draw14%
Osasuna80%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Osasuna are clear favourites: 80% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Osasuna are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Osasuna: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Atletico Calatayud — Osasuna What is xG?0.7–2.7
Atletico Calatayud not to lose20%
Osasuna not to lose93%
No draw86%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.567%
Total under 2.533%

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Form

Atletico Calatayud

No past matches in the data yet.

Osasuna

  • 11.10away · Real Betis2:5
  • 19.09Rayo Vallecano1:1
  • 16.09away · Atlético Madrid0:4
  • 12.09Espanyol0:2
  • 06.09away · Deportivo Alavés2:5

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →