Uzbekistan Super League, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
AGMK — Kokand 1912
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
AGMK are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AGMK are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: AGMK — No. 7, 36 pts; Kokand 1912 — No. 13, 23 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AGMK — Kokand 1912 What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| AGMK not to lose | 76% | |
| Kokand 1912 not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AGMK
- AGMK goals
- Kokand 1912 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Navbahor Namangan2:2
- 20.09away · Sogdiana2:1
- 09.09Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 03.09Xorazm1:0
- 25.08away · Surkhon-20110:0
- 09.10Mashal Muborak3:0
- 20.09away · Surkhon-20110:1
- 10.09away · Andijon1:2
- 05.09Dinamo Samarkand1:1
- 24.08Buxoro1:1
Head to head
- 22.07.2026Kokand 1912 — AGMK1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 23 | 7 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Dinamo SamarkandAndijonpreliminary4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Qizilqum ZarafshonLokomotiv Tashkentpreliminary2728452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →