Saudi Pro League, round 11 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Al-Faisaly — Al Nassr FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Nassr FC are clear favourites: 73% against 9% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Nassr FC are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Faisaly — Al Nassr FC What is xG? | 0.7–2.3 | |
| Al-Faisaly not to lose | 27% | |
| Al Nassr FC not to lose | 91% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Al-Faisaly goals
- Al Nassr FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.09Al Ittihad1:3
- 08.09away · Al-Ettifaq0:0
- 05.09Al Hazem0:0
- 30.08away · Al Qadsiah1:3
- 26.08Al Fateh FC1:1
- 09.10Al Diriyah3:0
- 12.09away · Al Khaleej1:1
- 09.09Abha2:1
- 05.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
- 28.08Al-Taawoun2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al IttihadAl Diriyahpreliminary4929231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Al QadsiahAl Hilalpreliminary2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →