Saudi Pro League, round 11 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Al Ittihad — Al Diriyah
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Ittihad are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ittihad are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Ittihad — Al Diriyah What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Al Ittihad not to lose | 77% | |
| Al Diriyah not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Ittihad
- Al Ittihad goals
- Al Diriyah goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Al Hilal2:3
- 11.09away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 08.09Al-Fayha2:1
- 05.09Al Nassr FC2:1
- 29.08away · Al Fateh FC0:0
- 09.10away · Al Nassr FC0:3
- 13.09Abha0:0
- 09.09away · Al Fateh FC2:1
- 03.09Al Qadsiah0:2
- 29.08away · Al-Ettifaq3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al-FaisalyAl Nassr FCpreliminary919732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- Al QadsiahAl Hilalpreliminary2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →