Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Al Hilal — Al Fateh FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Hilal are clear favourites: 89% against 3% for the opponent, draw 8%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Hilal are about 2.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al Hilal — No. 1, 21 pts; Al Fateh FC — No. 16, 3 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
- Al Fateh FC: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Hilal 5 wins, Al Fateh FC 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Hilal — Al Fateh FC What is xG? | 3.2–0.7 | |
| Al Hilal not to lose | 97% | |
| Al Fateh FC not to lose | 11% | |
| No draw | 92% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
181 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Hilal
- Al Hilal goals
- Al Fateh FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Al Ittihad3:2
- 12.09away · Al-Taawoun6:0
- 07.09Neom SC0:2
- 04.09away · Al Shabab2:0
- 01.09Al Ahli3:0
- 09.10Al Ahli0:4
- 13.09away · Neom SC2:4
- 09.09Al Diriyah1:2
- 05.09away · Al-Taawoun0:0
- 29.08Al Ittihad0:0
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Al Fateh FC — Al Hilal0:1
- 22.11.2025Al Hilal — Al Fateh FC2:1
- 16.05.2025Al Fateh FC — Al Hilal3:4
- 16.01.2025Al Hilal — Al Fateh FC9:0
- 26.04.2024Al Hilal — Al Fateh FC3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al-TaawounAl-Ettifaqpreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al-FayhaAl-Faisalypreliminary403228XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →