Saudi Pro League, round 9 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al Khaleej — Al-Fayha

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Model prediction for 15 October

Al Khaleej43%
Draw30%
Al-Fayha26%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Al Khaleej are slightly stronger: 43% against 26%, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al Khaleej are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Khaleej — Al-Fayha What is xG?1.3–1.0
Al Khaleej not to lose74%
Al-Fayha not to lose57%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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  • Handicap Al Khaleej
  • Al Khaleej goals
  • Al-Fayha goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Al Khaleej

  • 10.10away · Al-Ettifaq1:1
  • 12.09Al Nassr FC1:1
  • 07.09Al Riyadh0:0
  • 03.09away · Neom SC0:3
  • 28.08Al Hilal1:5

Al-Fayha

  • 11.10Al Riyadh1:1
  • 12.09away · Al Shabab0:0
  • 08.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
  • 03.09Al Kholood2:2
  • 28.08Abha3:2

Head to head

  • 28.01.2026Al-Fayha — Al Khaleej3:1
  • 13.09.2025Al Khaleej — Al-Fayha3:0
  • 20.02.2025Al-Fayha — Al Khaleej0:0
  • 20.09.2024Al Khaleej — Al-Fayha0:0
  • 21.12.2023Al Khaleej — Al-Fayha3:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Al Shabab81439–11-27
13Al-Fayha81438–12-47
14Al Khaleej80624–11-76
15Al-Faisaly70345–13-83

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →