Saudi Pro League, round 9 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium

Al-Faisaly — Al Kholood

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Model prediction for 15 October

Al-Faisaly34%
Draw30%
Al Kholood36%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Al-Faisaly 34%, Al Kholood 36%, draw 30%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al-Faisaly — Al Kholood What is xG?1.3–1.4
Al-Faisaly not to lose64%
Al Kholood not to lose66%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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  • Handicap Al-Faisaly
  • Al-Faisaly goals
  • Al Kholood goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Al-Faisaly

  • 11.09Al Ittihad1:3
  • 08.09away · Al-Ettifaq0:0
  • 05.09Al Hazem0:0
  • 30.08away · Al Qadsiah1:3
  • 26.08Al Fateh FC1:1

Al Kholood

  • 09.10Al Qadsiah0:5
  • 13.09away · Al Riyadh0:2
  • 09.09Al Shabab2:1
  • 03.09away · Al-Fayha2:2
  • 29.08Al Ahli3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Al-Ettifaq833212–12012
8Al Kholood833212–15-312
9Al Diriyah83237–8-111
14Al Khaleej80624–11-76
15Al-Faisaly70345–13-83
16, RelegationAl Fateh FC80354–15-113

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →