Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Al Khaleej — Al Hazem
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Khaleej are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Khaleej are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Khaleej — Al Hazem What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Al Khaleej not to lose | 74% | |
| Al Hazem not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Khaleej
- Al Khaleej goals
- Al Hazem goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Al-Ettifaq1:1
- 12.09Al Nassr FC1:1
- 07.09Al Riyadh0:0
- 03.09away · Neom SC0:3
- 28.08Al Hilal1:5
- 10.10Neom SC1:1
- 11.09away · Al Ahli1:3
- 08.09Al-Taawoun1:0
- 05.09away · Al-Faisaly0:0
- 30.08Al Shabab1:1
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Al Khaleej — Al Hazem2:1
- 06.11.2025Al Hazem — Al Khaleej1:4
- 24.02.2024Al Hazem — Al Khaleej1:1
- 29.08.2023Al Khaleej — Al Hazem1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al Nassr FCAl Kholoodpreliminary811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
- Al RiyadhAl Qadsiahpreliminary918732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →