Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Al Nassr FC — Al Kholood
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Nassr FC are clear favourites: 81% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Nassr FC are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al Nassr FC — No. 3, 19 pts; Al Kholood — No. 8, 12 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Al Nassr FC 3 wins, Al Kholood 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Nassr FC — Al Kholood What is xG? | 2.6–0.8 | |
| Al Nassr FC not to lose | 94% | |
| Al Kholood not to lose | 19% | |
| No draw | 87% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Nassr FC
- Al Nassr FC goals
- Al Kholood goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Al Diriyah3:0
- 12.09away · Al Khaleej1:1
- 09.09Abha2:1
- 05.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
- 28.08Al-Taawoun2:1
- 09.10Al Qadsiah0:5
- 13.09away · Al Riyadh0:2
- 09.09Al Shabab2:1
- 03.09away · Al-Fayha2:2
- 29.08Al Ahli3:1
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Al Kholood — Al Nassr FC0:3
- 14.09.2025Al Nassr FC — Al Kholood2:0
- 14.03.2025Al Nassr FC — Al Kholood3:1
- 25.10.2024Al Kholood — Al Nassr FC3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al KhaleejAl Hazempreliminary4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Al RiyadhAl Qadsiahpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →