Egyptian Premier League, round 6 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium)
Al Mokawloon Al Arab — ZED FC
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1:1Came true
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), came true.
Evenly matched: Al Mokawloon Al Arab 37%, ZED FC 30%, draw 33%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Al Mokawloon Al Arab 1 win, ZED FC 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Mokawloon Al Arab — ZED FC What is xG? | 1.1–1.0 | |
| Al Mokawloon Al Arab not to lose | 70% | |
| ZED FC not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Al Mokawloon Al Arab
- Al Mokawloon Al Arab goals
- ZED FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.09away · Wadi Degla FC2:0
- 09.09Al Ahly SC1:1
- 02.09away · El Gouna FC1:0
- 27.08Al Masry SC2:3
- 22.08away · Tala'ea El Gaish0:1
- 17.09Olympic El Qanah FC2:1
- 09.09away · Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI1:2
- 01.09away · Tala'ea El Gaish1:0
- 28.08Al Ahly SC0:2
- 21.08away · Wadi Degla FC0:0
Head to head
- 06.04.2026ZED FC — Al Mokawloon Al Arab0:0
- 09.08.2025Al Mokawloon Al Arab — ZED FC0:2
- 03.05.2024ZED FC — Al Mokawloon Al Arab0:1
- 22.10.2023Al Mokawloon Al Arab — ZED FC3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | National Bank | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Mokawloon Al Arab | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Petrojet-Suez | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Next matches
- Al Sharkeyah-ENPPIAl Mokawloon Al Arab19 October · Egyptian Premier League4032281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- ZED FCModern Sport FC20 October · Egyptian Premier League403327XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- 4232271The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.1
- 5926151The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 4433231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →